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If ossoff wins, bad sign for GOP in 2018, right?

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proles in Owsley County, KY partying in the street
  06/15/17
no because it will trigger things going in the other directi...
Libs, Fuck
  06/15/17
libs will certainly try and forcememe it but the reality is ...
Maori woman performing defiant haka
  06/15/17
if Dems come close they will spin it. but the reality is th...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
To your second point...dat gerrymandering bro...there aren't...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  06/15/17
there are a bunch on the two coasts. there's a few in the D...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
no one will remember this "win" by 2018, but libs ...
michael CharlesXIIikoff
  06/15/17
libs will talk it up even if they just come close. they nee...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
doesn't help the GOP that Ossoff is getting INSANE money and...
michael CharlesXIIikoff
  06/15/17
Also I always get the idea that ATL wants to feel like a hip...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  06/15/17
Not even sure it's that. He's definitely a sharper, better ...
michael CharlesXIIikoff
  06/15/17
there are lots of Jews in GA?
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
Yes. Atlanta has tons. Pockets in Columbus.
michael CharlesXIIikoff
  06/15/17
It's not really about remembering the win as a canary in the...
proles in Owsley County, KY partying in the street
  06/15/17
right. not sure why poasters here are confused. you said &...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
Kind of. If Dems want to win back the House they NEED to ...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  06/15/17
Trump won the district by like 1.5%. The district was alway...
you're the Bannon
  06/15/17
yeah except Trump lost or tied in A LOT of suburban district...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
My point is at those narrow margins it comes down to the ind...
you're the Bannon
  06/15/17
Even if that's true, the GOP is still fucked because they wi...
Hurricane Jose late to the party
  06/15/17
Doesn't matter if Karen is assassinated http://www.xoxoh...
Patriots elected Trump, Randy
  06/15/17
The amount of money they've spent in the district makes it s...
PrestigeWhore
  06/15/17


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Date: June 15th, 2017 6:57 PM
Author: proles in Owsley County, KY partying in the street



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567633)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 6:58 PM
Author: Libs, Fuck

no because it will trigger things going in the other direction.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567639)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:12 PM
Author: Maori woman performing defiant haka

libs will certainly try and forcememe it but the reality is it's one seat against someone who is hated down there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567734)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:14 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

if Dems come close they will spin it. but the reality is they need to get a win for fucking once.

that said, if they win this district, then yes it's a very bad sign for the GOP. Reps can make some gains in the rustbelt, but that won't offset losses in well to do or educated suburbs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567745)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:24 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

To your second point...dat gerrymandering bro...there aren't that manny competitive surban seats thanks to legislatures elected in 2010 gerrymandering the census redistricting.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567822)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:30 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

there are a bunch on the two coasts. there's a few in the DC area, a few in NY, a few in NJ, a few in PA... a lot in California.

The Dems should just plant themselves in CA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567875)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:16 PM
Author: michael CharlesXIIikoff

no one will remember this "win" by 2018, but libs will bray about it for at least another year. HTH

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567758)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:18 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

libs will talk it up even if they just come close. they need to win though.

it's not that it will be newsworthy in a year, it's that it's telling because it's a near in upper class suburban district... these are the types of districts that are trending away from Republicans as the GOP targets lower income populists. There is nothing uniquely amazing about Osoff so if he wins this then it's a bad sign of things to come for the GOP.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567770)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:26 PM
Author: michael CharlesXIIikoff

doesn't help the GOP that Ossoff is getting INSANE money and celebrity support from out of state (like the most money ever spent on a congressional election or something), and Handel is a pretty weak candidate (not even sure she graduated college). Add in the riled up libs going out to vote in droves who otherwise wouldn't lift a finger in a worthless not-even-midterm-election. If I'm GOP I want to look out for this sort of thing of course, but the odds are actually stacked against them right now in this election IMO.

Jews all over town have Ossoff signs in their front yard, even outside of the district hes running in. My parents neighborhood (like 90% Jewish, not in Ossoff district) is full of them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567848)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:29 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

Also I always get the idea that ATL wants to feel like a hip, cutting edge city and a film maker fag plays into that mindset really well.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567871)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 9:20 PM
Author: michael CharlesXIIikoff

Not even sure it's that. He's definitely a sharper, better looking candidate than Handel. Not campaigning super shitlib either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568785)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:31 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

there are lots of Jews in GA?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567879)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 9:20 PM
Author: michael CharlesXIIikoff

Yes. Atlanta has tons. Pockets in Columbus.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568787)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:35 PM
Author: proles in Owsley County, KY partying in the street

It's not really about remembering the win as a canary in the coal mine, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567896)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:52 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

right. not sure why poasters here are confused. you said "sign" not "talking point" or "news story"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568031)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:22 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

Kind of.

If Dems want to win back the House they NEED to win every single race like this. So Ossof winning means they have a shot. But it doesn't mean its certain (of course (((they))) will act like it is).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567798)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:30 PM
Author: you're the Bannon (The kids are alt-right)

Trump won the district by like 1.5%. The district was always a tossup so I think it's ok if it goes either way. At those margins it comes down to how individuals connect with the voters It's not all about party affiliation.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567873)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:32 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

yeah except Trump lost or tied in A LOT of suburban districts. So the GOP needs to outperform him in suburban districts or offset losses by winning in midwestern districts where he outperformed.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567884)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:34 PM
Author: you're the Bannon (The kids are alt-right)

My point is at those narrow margins it comes down to the individual candidates. It tells us nothing about the overall trends in how people vote. But let me amend that to add that this is only true of Ossoff wins by a narrow margin. If he wins by 5%+ I think that is a somewhat bad sign.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567892)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:45 PM
Author: Hurricane Jose late to the party

Even if that's true, the GOP is still fucked because they will have to win close calls in a ton of districts. There are lots more suburban districts than rural ones. Yes, most of them could go either way, but if you are defending 50 districts like that then chances are you are going to lose a lot of ground.

Plus, I don't think this District is particularly bad for the GOP compared to many they are defending. As an example, look at Barbara Comstock's district outside of Washington, DC. If Ossoff basically ties in this one then I doubt she can hold on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567979)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:42 PM
Author: Patriots elected Trump, Randy

Doesn't matter if Karen is assassinated

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648907&mc=3&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567951)



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Date: June 15th, 2017 8:58 PM
Author: PrestigeWhore (the prancing linguist)

The amount of money they've spent in the district makes it seems like a bad indicator for future races.

Certainly good news for dems if they win, but not the earth shattering referendum the (((media))) will make it out to be

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568552)